Forecasting Post-War Tourist Arrivals to Sri Lanka Using Dynamic Transfer Function Modeling Method

Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey

Modeling and forecasting techniques of the tourist arrivals are many and diverse. Th ere is no unique model that exactly outperforms the other models in every situation. Actually a few studies have realized modeling and forecasting the tourist arrivals to Turkey and these studies have not focused on the total tourist arrivals. Th ese studies have focused on the tourist arrivals to Turkey countr...

Forecasting U.S. Tourist Arrivals using Singular Spectrum

5 This paper introduces Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) for tourism demand forecasting 6 via an application into total monthly U.S. Tourist arrivals from 1996-2012. The global 7 tourism industry is today, a key driver of foreign exchange inflows to an economy. Here, we 8 compare the forecasting results from SSA with those from ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing 9 (ETS) and Neural Networks (NN). We f...

Seasonality in Tourism and Forecasting Foreign Tourist Arrivals in India

In the present age of globalization, technology-revolution and sustainable development, the presence of seasonality in tourist arrivals is considered as a key policy issue that affects the global tourism industry by creating instability in the demand and revenues. The seasonal component in a time-series distorts the prediction attempts for policy-making. In this context, it is quintessential to...

Reclaiming reconciliation through community education for the Muslims and Tamils of post-war Jaffna, Sri Lanka

This paper explores the possibilities and challenges for ethno-religious reconciliation through secondary school education in post-war Sri Lanka, with a specific focus on the Muslim and Tamil communities in the Northern city of Jaffna. In doing so, we position our paper within the growing field of 'education, conflict and emergencies' of which there has been a growing body of literature discuss...

Psychological trauma of the civil war in Sri Lanka.